China's long debt-landing - The USD DXY rallied 5% since the middle of July. Given the health of the US economy versus its major counterparts, we expect further USD upside but with more bumps. The combination of lax fiscal and tight monetary policy is likely to be an undercurrent for the USD for some time. Problems in China are supporting the USD as well.
QCAM Monthly August 2023: FX markets started the second half of the year with the same rollercoaster pattern as they finished the first half, only faster. The USD DXY fell 3% in the first half of July and then recovered most losses by the end of the month.